Welcome to The Business Buying Academy with Sieva Kozinsky. Here's what we have in store for you today:
๐ How to lose $1.45 billion in less than 2 years The 1980s was a defining moment for business buying. Many would call it the LBO Craze. Leveraged buyouts (LBOs) were a new mechanism for buying companies that fueled a frenzy of acquisitions. That frenzy was fueled by deregulation, easy credit, and a speculative appetite for high-risk, high-reward deals. LBOs are buyouts, often done by private equity firms, where the buyer acquires a company using a lot of debt (typically 70-90% of the purchase price) secured against the targetโs assets or cash flows, with minimal equity. While many of the conditions that created the LBO craze are long-gone, there are plenty of lessons we can still learn today:
Many of these lessons might remind you of the bidding war for HVAC and other home service businesses today, financed aggressively with SBA loans. Now let's just back to the 1980s. If you want to understand the LBO Era, you need to understand the poster child of the time: The $25 billion RJR Nabisco LBO in 1988. The defining book of the era, Barbarians at the Gate, is primarily about this deal. It's way too big of a story to tell today, but here's a quick summary:
The RJR Nabisco leveraged buyout (LBO), valued at $25 billion, was the largest and most iconic deal of the 1980s LBO craze. RJR Nabisco, a conglomerate spanning tobacco (R.J. Reynolds) and food (Nabisco brands like Oreo), became the target of a fierce bidding war after CEO F. Ross Johnson proposed a management-led buyout to take the company private. Private equity firm Kohlberg Kravis Roberts & Co. (KKR) ultimately won against Johnsonโs group and others, including First Boston, with a bid of $109 per share in November 1988. The deal was financed with roughly 87% debt, including junk bonds arranged by Drexel Burnham Lambert, and only 13% equity.
But hundreds of other deals happened around the same time. This $1.45 billion deal exemplifies the high-stakes world of 1980s LBOs, where junk bonds and heavy debt fueled aggressive acquisitions but often led to spectacular failures. Deal Overview
This new structure quadrupled Revco's long-term debt from $309 million to about $1.3 billion ๐ฉ๐ฉ๐ฉ
Outcome The deal collapsed within 19 months. Revco defaulted on a $46.5 million interest payment in June 1988 and filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy in July 1988. Key factors included overestimated cash flows, aggressive inventory purges that disrupted sales, vendor distrust leading to tighter credit terms, and high interest burdens amid economic slowdowns. Revco posted consistent net losses with no post-LBO profit margins. The business eventually reemerged from bankruptcy in 1992 but was later acquired by CVS in 1997 at a fraction of the LBO value. Lessons:
๐ Don't make this mistake when buying a business Buying a business without getting a quality of earnings report is like buying a house without a home inspection. Youโre taking a big bet without knowing what youโre buying, and it could be a disaster. Even if the seller gives you all their financial statements, they often have very bad bookkeeping. โ So, what should be in your QOE and financial due diligence package? โ Here's what today's sponsor Appletree says about their QOE reports: โ โ Proof of Cash โ Are revenues real? We rebuild the last 1-2 years using bank statements to verify that reported earnings arrived in the bank account. โ Addbacks That Actually Make Sense โ We normalize SDE or EBITDA with logic, not wishful thinking. The hand-waving. No โadjusting awayโ real costs just to make numbers look better. โ Working Capital Analysis โ Avoid the โPost-Close Surpriseโ where youโre suddenly short $150k in working capital. We calculate what the business needs to operate smoothly. โ Forward Looking Projections โWe model post close cash flow and debt service coverage under flat, growth, and decline scenarios โ so you know how risky the deal really is. If youโre sending out LOIโs or nearing a deal, donโt go in blind. Talk to Appletree for a pragmatic, thorough Quality of Earnings report โ built by people whoโve bought businesses themselves. ๐ Want to buy a business? Pay attention I've been interviewing dozens of people over the last year. My goal: Assembling the greatest collection of business buying lessons from people who have done it. Their businesses range from $1 million accounting firm to $100 million manufacturing businesses, and everything in between. We've got self-funded searchers, private equity partners with billions under management, and horizontal holding company owners looking to add the next great business to their portfolio. No matter what type of business you're looking to buy, I probably have a story for you. Check out the interview below. โWatch on YouTubeโ โListen on Spotifyโ โListen on Apple Podcastsโ โ Have a great day, Sieva P.S. - Are you hiring? Get started with top global talent from Somewhere (I'm a customer and investor) What did you think of today's newsletter? Rate this newsletter using the poll below: โ Disclaimer: nothing here is investment advice. Please do your own research. The information above is just for information and learning. โ โ โ |
Learn how to buy businesses in 5-minutes or less, once a week. Lessons & specific tactics on how invest your money and generate cash flow for your life.
Welcome to The Business Buying Academy with Sieva Kozinsky. Here's what we have in store for you today: They made $1.5 billion. The next investor lost $1.4 billion - on the same business. Warning to all business buyers My collection of business buying lessons ๐ A $1.5 billion profit & and a $1.4 billion loss I love reading about old private equity deals. The other day, I happened to stumble upon this gem of a deal: The 1992 leveraged buyout of beloved, quirky drink brand Snapple. With a...
Welcome to The Business Buying Academy with Sieva Kozinsky. Here's what we have in store for you today: This $44 billion deal failed fast A daycare for sale in Phoenix How to roll-up software businesses ๐ When leverage fails What happens when a massive bet goes horribly wrong? Today we're going to walk through a disaster of a deal - one that still haunts private equity. In 2007, a group of investors executed the largest LBO in history (at the time), acquiring TXU Energy. KKR, TPG Capital, and...
Welcome to The Business Buying Academy with Sieva Kozinsky. Here's what we have in store for you today: They bought too many businesses 20+ people showed me how to buy a business ๐ When Conglomerates Go Wrong In the 1960s, American businesses were swept up in a wave of optimism. Post-World War II prosperity, a booming stock market, and loose antitrust enforcement created a perfect storm for companies to expand. Enter the conglomerate, the hot new business model of the time Conglomerate: a...